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Has Hamilton Lost It? Or Is Ferrari Failing Him?

Lewis Hamilton watched Q3 unfold from the media pen in Lusail, helmet off, interviews rolling while the fast laps kept coming. For a seven-time World Champion, that’s an alien view. For 2025 Hamilton, it’s becoming an uncomfortable theme.

Williams boss James Vowles — the former Mercedes strategist who helped script so many of Hamilton’s title-winning Sundays — admitted he was puzzled by it all. Odd was his word of choice. Because in raw pace, he argued, Hamilton hasn’t been miles off this season. Certainly not this far off.

Ferrari’s SF-25 has teased more than it’s delivered for Hamilton. There was a neat little one-lap streak from Singapore through Mexico, capped by a season-best P3 on Saturday in Mexico City. Then the elastic snapped. Sao Paulo brought 13th. Las Vegas was a gut-punch: out in Q1, last of the runners and more than two seconds shy of the Q2 cut. Qatar doubled down — thrown out in SQ1 and again in qualifying, both times roughly three-tenths adrift of survival.

The strangest part? He said the car felt good. The stopwatch simply refused to agree.

Karun Chandhok, on Sky’s pad with the traces and throttle overlays, put it down to confidence — or the lack of it. The Mercedes-era Hamilton would knife through medium-speed with a single, committed squeeze. In Lusail, he was pecking at the throttle in Turns 3 and 4, fighting a slide at the Turn 6 hairpin, and bleeding minimum speed at Turn 15. Add those little losses up and three-tenths to the bubble vanishes in a hurry.

None of that fits the Hamilton we know. Which is why Vowles found it hard to reconcile: the broader picture says he’s had pace; the Qatar snapshot says he couldn’t use it. Ferrari insiders have been open about the SF-25’s narrow operating window, particularly over a single lap. If you don’t catch that window perfectly, it shuts on your fingers.

And then there’s the inevitable question that always bubbles up when a superstar has a rough patch: is this the beginning of the end? Juan Pablo Montoya knocked that down with a firm no. He sees a veteran venting frustration, not checking out. In his view, Hamilton held his tongue early in the year while he tried to understand the car; now he’s saying exactly what he thinks, and he still wants to win. Montoya even pointed to Brazil and the near miss with Charles Leclerc’s spin in qualifying — a what-if that could’ve swung intra-team bragging rights on Saturday.

The point is not that Hamilton’s been perfect. He hasn’t. The point is that he isn’t done.

He’s also contracted for 2026, when Formula 1 rips up the rulebook again. Ground effect goes, active aero arrives, and the power unit balance shifts toward a 50/50 split between combustion and electric power. Call it a reset — the kind of era change that tends to reward drivers who think fast and adapt faster. If the next generation of cars becomes a chess match at 320 km/h, you’d be brave to bet against Hamilton being very good at chess.

Short term, this is about Ferrari finding him a platform he can trust. Hamilton’s feedback has been clear for months: he wants stability on entry and something predictable in that mid-corner phase where lap time lives and dies. The SF-25 can be quick. We’ve seen it. But the knife edge is too sharp, and it’s catching him out on the Saturdays that set up his Sundays.

The irony is that for all the chatter, the basics haven’t changed. Hamilton is 40, yes, but he’s still one of the sport’s cleanest references for what “good” looks like when the car’s under him. He doesn’t need to prove anything to anyone other than himself — which is exactly why he won’t walk away on a low. The fire’s still on.

Qatar won’t make his highlight reel. It probably shouldn’t. But it may yet be one of those weekends that stiffens his resolve and forces Ferrari to sharpen their answers. The stopwatch is a ruthless judge; it’s also short-sighted. Hamilton’s story stretches further than a couple of ugly Q1s under the lights.

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