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Verstappen’s Exit Looms: Can Red Bull Snatch Leclerc?

Max Verstappen’s Thursday in Suzuka had a familiar edge to it: terse, controlled, and pointedly on his terms. He even delayed the start of his media session until a particular journalist had left the room — a small moment that still managed to underline the bigger theme hanging over Red Bull’s weekend.

Because the four-time world champion isn’t just grumbling about balance or tyre life. He’s questioning the point of the whole exercise.

Since pre-season testing, Verstappen has been openly unimpressed by Formula 1’s 2026 direction, bristling at what he sees as “anti-racing” regulations. In the paddock’s new vocabulary, “battery harvesting” and “super clipping” have become the shorthand for a power-unit era that demands constant energy management rather than flat-out commitment. Drivers can harvest up to 250kW under super clipping — effectively taking energy away from the internal combustion engine to feed the battery — which still sits 100kW below the battery’s maximum output. The consequence is obvious from the cockpit: even in qualifying, you can’t simply pin it for an entire lap.

Verstappen has already likened it to “Formula E on steroids” and “Mario Kart”, and the tone hasn’t softened now the racing has begun. At Suzuka, he sounded less angry than weary — which, from Red Bull’s perspective, might be even more unsettling.

“I don’t get upset about it. I don’t get disappointed or frustrated by it anymore with what’s going on,” Verstappen said on Thursday. “You know how I think about stuff, I don’t need to mention it again. So yeah, a lot of stuff obviously for me, personally, to figure out.”

Pressed on what, specifically, he meant, he replied: “Life here.”

A day later, the message sharpened into something more personal than politics or technical debate.

“I’m thinking about everything inside this paddock… You just think about, is it worth it? Or do I enjoy being more at home with my family, seeing my friends more when you’re not enjoying your sport?”

It’s the sort of comment that lands with a thud in the team’s senior offices, because even if Verstappen never formally issues an ultimatum, the implication is clear: if F1 no longer feels like racing to him, Red Bull can’t assume he’ll simply push through out of habit.

And that’s why the hypothetical that follows is suddenly more than paddock gossip: if Verstappen did decide he’d had enough, who on earth replaces him?

Red Bull has a driver ladder, of course. Isack Hadjar is in the second Red Bull car this season and remains an obvious internal option on paper, but he hasn’t yet looked like a Verstappen-scale focal point for a title programme. Arvid Lindblad is another name in the orbit at Racing Bulls, though by any realistic measure he’s still early in the process — potential, yes, but not the finished product you build an organisation around next year.

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That gap between “promising” and “ready to lead Red Bull” is exactly what former F1 driver Jolyon Palmer homed in on. Speaking on the F1 Nation podcast, Palmer argued that if Red Bull ever had to fill the Verstappen seat for real, it may have to go shopping outside its own stable — and his first call would be to Maranello.

“Oh, for me if money no object, probably Charles Leclerc,” Palmer said. “He’s been at Ferrari a long time. I think he’s supremely talented. I think he’s shown that.

“If Ferrari can’t show this year that they can be capable of winning the title, which they might do yet, I think he’s someone that could be tempted away. Would he be tempted enough to go to Red Bull? We’re talking real hypotheticals here, but I still think there’s a title in him and I think he might be tempted.”

It’s a juicy suggestion because it cuts against two stubborn realities of modern F1. The first is that Ferrari drivers rarely leave Ferrari by choice if they still believe there’s a championship to be won in red. The second is that Red Bull’s entire structure in the Verstappen era has been built around an almost frictionless certainty: give Max a car that can win, and he will.

Leclerc, though, is one of the few drivers on the grid with the speed and stature to make Red Bull’s post-Verstappen world feel like a continuation rather than a rebuild. He’s also a proven qualifier, a race winner, and — crucially for the internal dynamics at Milton Keynes — someone with enough authority to reset the team’s identity without needing to be treated as Verstappen’s “replacement” every time he walks into a room.

The obstacle is Ferrari itself. Leclerc is deep into his time with the Scuderia and has consistently pushed back against the idea he’s looking elsewhere, even as speculation has flared up around the team with predictable regularity.

“What I can say is what I’ve always said, and that’s very clear,” Leclerc said last season at the United States Grand Prix. “I’ve always loved Ferrari so much and my only obsession at the moment is to win in red, whether it’s now or in the future. And I want to bring back Ferrari to the top.

“There are lots of speculations around me, but just in general around the team for whatever reason. I feel like there are too many people speaking things not coming from actual facts, and it’s just a little bit annoying.”

So yes, Palmer’s Leclerc-to-Red Bull scenario is as hypothetical as he admits. But it’s telling that this is where the conversation goes when Verstappen starts talking like a man mentally measuring the paddock against the rest of his life.

In 2026, Red Bull’s biggest problem might not be finding someone fast enough. It might be facing the possibility that the driver who has defined its modern success no longer wants to play the game at all — and that the sport’s new rulebook, more than any rival, is the thing pushing him toward the exit.

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